MATH 1F92 Lecture 9: Chapter 4.3

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Coefficient of determination, measures the proportion of total variation in the response variable that is explained by the least squares regression line. Deviation: how far one value deviates from another value (the difference between one value and another value) In regression: we are concerned with three types of deviations: a) total deviation = y - y . On the graph, the green distance + the red distance. b) explained deviation = ^- y . How far a predicted c) unexplained deviation = y - ^. How far an response deviates from the average response. observed value is from its predicted value. (y - y )2 = (y - ^)2 + (^- y )2. R2 = r2 = known as the coefficient of determination, which is the square of the correlation coefficient. To illustrate each of these types, we will look at a data set of square footage in a house (x) vs. price of a house (y).