FINS1613 Lecture Notes - Lecture 9: Expected Return, Summary Statistics, Standard Deviation

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Realised return: the perce(cid:374)t retur(cid:374) cha(cid:374)ge i(cid:374) a security"s value over a particular ti(cid:373)e period: To determine the cumulative return on a security over multiple time periods, we compound the returns for each individual period. Assume a stock returns r1 from t=0 to t=1, r2 from t=1 to t=2, and so on. Then, the realised return on the stock from t=0 to t=4 is: Arithmetic average return: describes return in an average year over a particular period. Serves as an estimate of the expected return: Geometric average return: describes the average compound return per year over a particular period. It is the constant per-period return such that the total return would be the same. It is not an estimate of the expected return due to reinvestment and compounding: Variance: measures return dispersion; how much returns vary around the average: Standard deviation: or volatility, is the square root of variance the risk.

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