BFC1001 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: Official Cash Rate, Securitization, Credit Risk

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8 Aug 2018

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Individuals in the retail market typically access the debt market by borrowing money and taking out a loan. A loan allows an individual to overcome equity constraints and bring forward future consumption to the present at a cost (interest). For example, you want to buy a car but you don"t have enough money. You can either save and buy the car in 5 years or you can take out a loan and buy the car now. If the car is bought now, economic activity and growth are increased. This is why the flow of funds is important, it brings future consumption to the present time. Financial intermediaries such as banks and credit unions are the main providers of such loans. A loan is an asset to the lender and a liability to the borrower. The interest charged on retail loans is influenced by. The availability and cost of funds (as determined by the rba)

Related Questions

Position A: Financial Institutions' role as specialists in risk measurement and management is reduced.

Position B: Financial Institutions' role as specialists in risk measurement and management is increased.

Required:

Read the âbackgroundâ below. After reading, select the position you agree with and write a position paragraph supporting either Position A or Position B.

Background: A major event that changed and reshaped the financial services industry was the financial crisis of the late 2000s. As Financial Institutions adjusted to regulatory changes brought about in the 1980s and 1990s, one result was a dramatic increase in systemic risk of the financial system, caused in large part by a shift in the banking model from that of âoriginate and holdâ to âoriginate to distribute.â In the traditional model, banks take short-term deposits and other sources of funds and use them to fund longer term loans to businesses and consumers. Banks typically hold these loans to maturity, and thus have an incentive to screen and monitor borrower activities even after a loan is made. However, the traditional banking model exposes the institution to potential liquidity, interest rate, and credit risk. In attempts to avoid these risk exposures and generate improved return-risk trade-offs, banks shifted to an underwriting model in which they originated or warehoused loans, and then quickly sold them. Indeed, most large banks organized as financial services holding companies to facilitate these new activities. More recently activities of shadow banks, nonfinancial service firms that perform banking services, have facilitated the change from the originate-and-hold model of commercial banking to the originate-and-distribute banking model. In the shadow banking system, savers place their funds with money market mutuals and similar funds, which invest these funds in the liabilities of other shadow banks. Like the traditional banking system, the shadow banking system intermediates the flow of funds between net savers and borrowers. However, instead of the bank serving as the middleman, it is the non-bank financial service firm, or shadow bank, that intermediates. Further, unlike the traditional banking system where the complete credit intermediation is performed by a single bank, in the shadow banking system, it is performed through a series of steps involving many non-bank financial service firms. These innovations remove risk from the balance sheet of financial institutions and shift risk off the balance sheet and to other parts of the financial system. Thus, the financial institutions, acting as underwriters, are not exposed to the credit, liquidity, and interest rate risks of traditional banking.

In your own words, explain what is meant by business and financial risk. Suppose Firm A has greater business risk than Firm B. Is it true that Firm A also has a higher cost of equity capital? Why or Why not? Explain.

Question 1 of 25

You are planning to deposit $1,000 in a savings account. Account A compounds semiannually while account B compounds monthly. If both accounts have the same quoted annual rate of interest, you should choose _______________.

A. either account since both quote the same rate of interest

B. account A because it has a higher APR

C. account A because it has a higher EAR

D. account B because it is compounded more often

Question 2 of 25

You are evaluating two annuities. They are identical in every way, except that one is an ordinary annuity and the other is an annuity due. Which of the following is FALSE?

A. The ordinary annuity must have a lower future value than the annuity due.

B. The ordinary annuity must have a higher present value than the annuity due.

C. The two annuities will differ in present value by the amount (1+r).

D. The annuity due and the ordinary annuity will make the same number of total payments over time.

Question 3 of 25

What is the total present value of $80 received in one year, $300 received in two years, and $700 received in six years if the discount rate is 7%? Note: There is no direct formula for this kind of PV computation other than the basic equation, PV = FV/(1+r)t. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 |-----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|---------| PV=? $80 $300 $700

A. $582.72

B. $681.68

C. $757.25

D. $803.24

Question 4 of 25

You need to borrow $23,000 to buy a car. The current loan rate is 7.9% APR compounded monthly and you want to pay the loan off in equal monthly payments over 5 years. What is the correct computation to find your monthly payment (C)?

A. C = $23,000 [PVIFA(7.9%/12, 60)]

B. $23,000 = C [1 - (1/1.0795)] / .079

C. $23,000 = C [1 - (1 /1.0065860)] / .00658

D. C = $23,000 [1 - (1/1.07960)] / .079

Question 5 of 25

The monthly mortgage payment on your house is $821.69. It is a 30-year mortgage at an APR of 6.5% compounded monthly. How much did you borrow? Note: PVIFA(r, t) = [1 â 1/(1+r)t] / r, and of course, you can use your calculator here.

A. $100,000

B. $115,000

C. $130,000

D. $140,000

Question 6 of 25

You just won the lottery and you are given two choices for your prize money: (1) A present lump sum of $20 million or (2) $1 million per year that you and your heirs will receive forever, beginning one year from now. If the appropriate interest rate is 5%, which should you choose and why? Note: PV of a perpetuity = C/r

A. Either, because both have the same present value.

B. (1) because it has a higher present value.

C. (2) because it has a higher present value.

D. (2) because it has a higher future value.

Question 7 of 25

What is the effective annual rate of 6% compounded quarterly? Note: EAR = (1 + APR/m)m â 1.0, where m is the number of compoundings in a year.

A. 6.00%

B. 6.14%

C. 7.50%

D. 24.00%

Question 8 of 25

At the end of each year for the next 8 years you will receive cash flows of $500. The initial investment is $2,500. Which of the following is the correct equation to find the rate of return (r) you are expecting from this investment?

A. $2,500 = $500 [1/(1+r)8 â 1] / r

B. $500 = $2,500 [PVIFA(r%,8)]

C. $500 = $2,500 [FVIFA(r%,8)]

D. $2,500 = $500 [1 â 1/(1+r)8] / r

Question 9 of 25

Consider the following cash flow stream. What is the correct way to find the present value of this cash flow stream at a 10% discount rate? 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 |----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|---------|----------|----------|----------| PV=? $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $35 $20 $20 $20 $20

A. PV = 35 [PVIFA(10%, 6)] + 20 [PVIFA(10%, 4)]

B. PV = 20 [PVIFA(10%, 10)] + 15 [PVIFA(10%, 6)]

C. PV = 35 [PVIFA(10%, 10)] â 15 [PVIFA(10%, 4)]

D. PV = 35 [PVIFA(10%, 6)]/(1.10)6 + 20 [PVIFA(10%, 4)]

Question 10 of 25

You plan to amortize your $10,000 loan by making five equal payments over the next 5 years. The interest rate is 5% compounded annually. What number should appear in (A) of your amortization table below? Note: PVIFA(5%, 5)=4.3295.

Beginning Ending Year Loan Balance Payment Interest Principal Loan Balance

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1 $10,000 xxxx xxx xxx xxxx

2 ( A ) xxxx xxx xxx xxxx

3 xxxx xxxx xxx xxx xxxx

4 xxxx xxxx xxx xxx xxxx

5 xxxx xxxx xxx xxx 0

A. $8,457.12

B. $8,190.26

C. $7,690.26

D. $6,809.74

Question 11 of 25

The rate of return required by investors for owning a bond to its maturity is called the

A. coupon rate.

B. current yield.

C. dividend yield.

D. yield to maturity.

Question 12 of 25

Which of the following statements regarding bond terminologies is INCORRECT?

A. The written, legally binding agreement between the corporate borrower and the lender detailing the terms of a bond issue is called the indenture.

B. The unsecured long-term debts of a firm are commonly called debentures.

C. An agreement giving the bond issuer the option to repurchase the bond at a specified price prior to maturity is called the zero provision.

D. A special account that sets aside periodic payments for bond redemption is called a sinking fund.

Question 13 of 25

Which of the following statements regarding bond trading is INCORRECT?

A. The long-term bonds issued by state and local governments in the United States are called municipal bonds.

B. The long-term bonds issued by the U.S. government are called Treasury Bills.

C. A bond that makes no coupon payments (and thus is initially priced at a deep discount) is called a zero coupon bond.

D. The price a dealer is willing to pay for a security is called the bid price.

Question 14 of 25

Which bond would most likely possess the least degree of interest rate risk?

A. 8% coupon rate, 12 years to maturity

B. 8% coupon rate, 15 years to maturity

C. 10% coupon rate, 10 years to maturity

D. 12% coupon rate, 8 years to maturity

Question 15 of 25

What is the value of a bond that will pay a total of 50 semiannual coupons of $80 each over the remainder of its life? The yield to maturity is 12%, p.a. Note: B = C [{1 â 1/(1+y)t}/y] + F /(1+y)t. Be careful about specifying t and y for this semiannual bond.

A. $ 734.86

B. $ 942.26

C. $1,135.90

D. $1,315.24

Question 16 of 25

Dizzy Corporationâs 10-year semiannual bond bearing a coupon rate of 12% is currently selling for $950. Given this information, which of the following is the correct valuation equation for this bond?

A. B = 120 [PVIFA(12%, 10)] + 1,000 [PVIF(12%, 10)]

B. $950 = 60 [PVIFA(r/2, 20)] + 1,000 [PVIF(r/2, 20)]

C. $950 = 120 [PVIFA(r, 10)] + 1,000 [PVIF(r, 10)]

D. B = 60 [PVIFA(6%, 20)] + 1,000 [PVIF(6%, 20)]

Question 17 of 25

To find the yield-to-maturity of the bond in Question #16 by trial and error, which number (as a semiannual YTM) should you pick as your first try?

A. 5%

B. 6%

C. 7%

D. Any number (like one of your favorite lotto numbers).

Question 18 of 25

George bought an investment one year ago and just calculated his return on investment. He found that his purchasing power has increased by 15% as a result of his investment. If the inflation over the period was 4%, his _______________. Note: (1+R) = (1+r)(1+h), but you donât need calculation here.

A. real return on investment is more than 15%

B. nominal return on investment is more than 15%

C. nominal return on investment is 11%

D. real return on investment is equal to 4%

Question 19 of 25

Which statement is INCORRECT given the following Treasury quotes? Maturity Coupon Bid Ask(ed) Chg Ask(ed) Yld ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5/15/2030 6.250 150.7188 150.7500 .8906 2.713

A. The amount of each coupon on this bond is $31.25.

B. The ask(ed) price is $1,507.50.

C. The dealer is willing to sell this bond to you for 150.7188% of par.

D. This bondâs ask(ed) price rose by $8.906 (i.e., eight dollars and 90+ cents) from the previous trading day.

Question 20 of 25

Which of the following statements regarding stock trading is INCORRECT?

A. Stock that has priority for dividends and bankruptcy liquidation is called priority equity.

B. The short alphabetic abbreviation for an exchange-listed stock by which the issue is identified in the market is called the stock's ticker symbol.

C. Capital gains yield is the rate of return based on the stock price increase.

D. Proxy voting is the voting procedure where shareholders grant authority to another individual to vote their shares.

Question 21 of 25

What would you pay for a share of ABC Corporation stock today if the next dividend will be $3 per share, your required return on equity investments is 15%, and the stock is expected to be worth $90 one year from now? (Remember the stock price today is the PV of its future cash flows, i.e., dividends and the future stock price, properly discounted)

A. $75.00

B. $78.26

C. $80.87

D. $90.00

Question 22 of 25

A preferred stock that pays a constant dividend of $1.50 currently sells for $10.71. What is the required rate of return? Note: P0 = D/R for a preferred stock.

A. 14%

B. 13%

C. 12%

D. 10%

Question 23 of 25

A stock with a constant dividend growth rate of 5% is expected to make a $2 dividend in one year. If you require a 12% return on your investment, which of the following statements is INCORRECT? Note: P0 = D1/(Râg) or R = (D1/P0) + g.

A. The current stock price is $28.57.

B. The dividend yield is 7%.

C. The capital gains yield is 12%.

D. The stock price will grow at an annual 5%.

Question 24 of 25

McIver, Inc. currently pays a $2 annual dividend. Investors believe that dividends will grow at 20% next year, 12% for the following year, and 6% annually thereafter. The required return is 10%. What is the current price of the stock?

A. $63.27

B. $60.80

C. $58.71

D. $54.90

Question 25 of 25

Which statement is INCORRECT given the following stock quotes? Prev Close 44.34 Dayâs Range 43.45 â 44.37 Bid 44.01 x 1,200 Volume 908,587 Ask 44.02 x 400 P/E 17.26 Beta 2.4 EPS 2.55 Market Cap 10.11B Div & Yield 0.50 (1.10%)

A. At this point someone was willing to buy 1,200 shares of this stock for $44.01 a share.

B. The yield-to-maturity for this stock is 1.1%.

C. On this trading day so far 908,587 shares changed hands.

D. The total value of this companyâs stock is (about) $10,110 million.

Please show formulas and explanations

Many farming households in the developing world use traditional biomass, kerosene and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) for cooking and lighting. Domestic biogas â generated from the dung of farming animals â has the potential to replace other fuels for meeting basic energy needs. However, high-quality systems such as fixed-dome plants1 can be relatively expensive â especially if constructed in remote areas, where not all building materials are readily available, and where perhaps no skilled masons are located. Farmers might not have either the required capital for cash purchase, nor the required income or creditworthiness for raising â and paying back â a credit.

A current debate â particularly in international development cooperation â deals with the question of how local financial institutions (FIs) can be integrated in the financing process. It is debatable, and it may differ from case to case, if lending for biogas is a viable business (and FIs have not yet realised the market potential), or if the lending potential is limited and an involvement of the private financial sector is rather more wishful thinking than a realistic option.

There have been several attempts for introducing local FIs to biogas finance. Besides technical assistance (such as trainings, capacity building, business development support), different financial support mechanisms have been considered for making the investment affordable for the farmer, and for introducing local FIs to biogas lending. This assignment should assess if and under which conditions i) a biogas plant is a financially viable investment; ii) local FIs can be involved in the development of a sustainable biogas market.

BASIC ASSUMPTIONS

â¢ A 6m3 fixed-dome biogas plant (size for a small farmer family) costs 660 USD, and has a 15 year economic life-time;

â¢ By using biogas instead of kerosene and LPG, and by using the resulting bio-slurry to replace chemical fertiliser for agricultural needs, a farmer can save on average 147 USD p.a. (given fixed prices);

â¢ Interest rates for annuity loans under 1,000 USD are 36 percent p.a. (monthly equal instalments); the loan tenor is 12 months.

QUESTIONS[1]

What are the internal rate of return (IRR) and payback period of the biogas investment â considering the savings on kerosene, LPG and fertiliser as revenues (i.e. positive cash flow)? How do you interpret the results with regard to the investmentâs overall attractiveness and financing requirements for the farmer? (approx. Â½ page) (15 points)

Assuming a positive net present value (NPV) of the investment, the initial capital expenditure (CAPEX) is often not affordable for small farming households. A bank loan could help the farmer to purchase the biogas plant. It is initially assumed that there is no down-payment (equity contribution) from the borrower, and no subsidy from third parties â i.e. the CAPEX has to be fully covered by the loan.

What is the monthly instalment (repayment and interest) to pay back the annuityloan? (10 points)

What is the total (accumulated) interest amount paid after 12 months? (5 points)

How does the total payment over 12 months (initial loan amount plus

accumulated interest) relate to the annual savings the farmer can generate from

not anymore using kerosene, LPG and chemical fertiliser (again considering thesesavings as revenues, and having in mind that farmers perhaps do not haveregular monthly income)? (approx. Â½ page) (10 points)

3. Given the high interest rates (36 percent p.a.), an international donor institution temporarily offers an âinterest softeningâ mechanism, reducing the interest for ultimate borrowers substantially to 9 percent p.a.[2]In turn, local FIs expand the loan tenor to 3 years (still monthly equal instalments).

a. What impact do these new loan conditions have on the farmerâs annual instalments?[3]How much household income (in addition to fuel and fertiliser savings) would be required per year for paying back the loan? (10 points)

b. How much would the donor contribute to financing of the biogas plant, both in absolute terms (USD), and relative to the initial investment costs (CAPEX) of the plant?[4] What could be the concerns of subsidising a large share of the investment costs through this interest softening mechanism? (approx. Â½ page) (10 points)

c. In what way does the interest softening mechanism, combined with the extended loan tenor, improve the farmersâ access to finance, and justify the involvement of the financial sector? (approx. Â½ page) (10 points)

4. Given the high demand for domestic biogas plants, and assuming that â even with

interest softening and tenor extension as described under task 3 â still many farmers

cannot afford a loan, the same donor institution decided to additionally provide a 30

percent CAPEX subsidy.

a. What impact does the CAPEX subsidy have on loan amount, annual instalments,

required household income, and the donorâs contribution to financing of the

biogas plant? (10 points)

b. What are the pros and cons of providing a one-time (up-front) subsidy payment?

(approx. Â½ page) (10 points)

5. The donor institution offers both support mechanisms â interest softening and CAPEX

subsidy â only temporarily. What could be the reasons for the temporary nature of theseinterventions, and what positive effects does donor presumably aim for after

withdrawing from the market? (approx. Â½ page) (10 points)

[1]It is recommended to use MS Excel for calculating IRR, annuity, instalments etc. For arithmetical tasks, please outlineyour approach (e.g. formulas, basic calculations) and provide a brief written analysis of your results. Small graphs andshort tables can be included in the text; large graphs and extensive tables should be attached as an Annex.

[2]In this context, interest softening is defined as a subsidy payment on the interest of each individual loan (or each

individual instalment, respectively) â not as a subsidised, interest-reduced credit line (so-called concessional finance,typically applied by development banks).

[3]Bear in mind that â for an annuity loan â repayment amount and interest payment change over time, resulting in

different annual instalments for each year.

[4] Bear in mind that the donor subsidizes the interest payment every month over the entire loan tenor.

BFC1001 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: Official Cash Rate, Securitization, Credit Risk

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