ATS1309 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: One-Child Policy, Industrial Revolution, Health Technology

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17 Oct 2018
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After industrial revolution 1800s population incline (fewer dying young) Population expected to grow but in reality, growth rate is decreasing. Fertility, mortality, migration: natural increase/decrease fertility minus mortality, net migration inflows minus outflows. Basic measure: crude birth rate (natality) = no. of births per 000 of population. Fecundity: the potential capacity of a woman to bear children (biological fertility) On average no. of births/female over lifespan 2. 1 2. 4 (depending on region) to maintain stable population (replacement level) Fertility is smaller than fecundity because of (in)voluntary birth restriction e. g. availability of contraception (e. g. Key point: fertility is the first key determinant of natural population change, and falls as economic development rises. Basic measure: mortality = relative no. of deaths in a given population. Better measures: age-specific mortality (e. g. child mortality) & life expectancy. Life expectancy has (mostly) been rising, mainly because of improved hygiene & vaccinations.

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