RSM341H1 Chapter Notes - Chapter 6-7: Astrological Sign, Probability Measure, Sample Space
Document Summary
If ann is a cancer, will say yes only if asked after exam; if ann is not a cancer, will say yes only if asked before exam. Bob only cares about ann"s astrological sign to extent that it affects relative values of his options. Only cares about consequences: whether ann say yes or no. Bob can formulate conditional beliefs about what consequences he will face if he asks before/after ann"s exam. Conditional beliefs are conditional on his choice, which he can control. Conditional on choosing ask before, degree of belief in yes is same as degree of belief in. Conditional on choosing ask after, degree of belief in yes is same as degree of belief in. Bobs" choice reveals relative degrees of belief in cancer and not cancer. Bob is uncertain about whether ann"s sign is cancer or not. Bob cannot affect ann"s sign through his choices. Bob does not care about ann"s sign intrinsically.
