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31 Mar 2018

The owner of Gator Airlines wishes to take her firm public by selling 4 million shares. The underwriter determines that the true value will be $12 with probability .3 and $8 with probability .7. There are a group of uninformed investors who are willing to buy 4 million shares as long as they expect not to lose money on average. They also assess the probability of the true value of the shares being $12 with probability .3 and $8 with probability .7. There is a group of informed investors who always know whether the true value is $12 or $8. They are willing to order 2 million shares if the offer price is less than the true value. Assume that if more shares are ordered than are available for sale, the underwriter allocates the available shares on a pro-rata basis based on the size of each groups order (i.e., the fraction of shares a group gets is equal to the groups order/total shares ordered).

(a) [5 points] Calculate the highest offer price at which the entire issue will surely sell.

(b) [5 points] If the stock is sold at the offer price you calculated in (a), could an uniformed investor make money on average by submitting an order to buy some shares of the new issue? Why or why not?

(c) [5 points] If the stock is sold at the offer price you calculated in (a), what will be the expected stock return on its first day of trading?

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Beverley Smith
Beverley SmithLv2
31 Mar 2018

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