Provide True/False answers to the following statements. Where false, explain why the statement is false. 1. World economic growth has continued in the last forty years despite the experiences of China and India. 2. Growth in GDP per capita in a country necessarily implies an alleviation of poverty.
Provide True/False answers to the following statements. Where false, explain why the statement is false. 1. World economic growth has continued in the last forty years despite the experiences of China and India. 2. Growth in GDP per capita in a country necessarily implies an alleviation of poverty.
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By manipulating the equations of the Solow model mathematically, it is possible to make more precise quantitative statements about the behavior of growth rates over time. For example, one way of qualifying the principle of transition dynamics is with the following equation.
g = 3 X (ln y* - ln y0) + 2
where g denotes the growth rate of a country over the next 10 years (in percentage points), 1n denotes the natural logarithm, y0 is the per capita GDP of a country in a steady-state (relative to the United States).
Of course, we don't usually know a country's steady-state position vis-Ã -vis of the United States. However, we do observe its growth rate. This question asks you to consider the facts from recent growth experiences in the table below.
Country | Current rate | Steady-state | g |
United States | 100 | 2 | |
Ireland | 86 | 4 | |
Russia | 21 | 5 | |
Brazil | 17 | 2 | |
China | 7 | 9 | |
India | 5 | 6 | |
Ethiopia | 1 | 5 |
Per capita Growth rate Per capita
GDP (US = 100), during GDP (US = 100),
Country 2010 2000-2010(%) steady state
The United States 100 2.0
Ireland 86 4.0
Russia 21 5.0
Brazil 17 2.0
China 7 9.0
India 5 6.0
Ethiopia 1 5.0
(a) Using those facts and the equation above, fill in the last column of the table. That is, offer a projection of where countries are headed in the long run.
(b) Provide a one-paragraph discussion of your results.
In recent years, the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) countries have received much attention due to their growing importance in the world economy. Now that you are equipped with knowledge about macroeconomic data, you can take a first-hand look at how quickly these countries have been growing, how much inflation they have, and how developed they are when compared to the USA.
Brazil | Russia | India | China | USA | |
Nominal GDP in 2013 (local currency, Million) | 4,844,815 | 66,755,300 | 113,550,735 | 56,884,521 | 16,768,100 |
Nominal GDP in 2000 (local currency, Million) | 1,179,482 | 7,305,600 | 21,774,127 | 9,921,455 | 10,284,800 |
Price Level in 2013 (index 2010=100) | 124.12 | 121.63 | 132 | 111.1 | 106.8 |
Price Level in 2000 (index 2010=100) | 51.4 | 30.75 | 54.2 | 81 | 79 |
Population in 2013 (in Million) | 200.4 | 143.5 | 1,252 | 1,357 | 316.1 |
Population in 2000 (in Million) | 174.5 | 146.6 | 1,042 | 1,263 | 282.2 |
Dollar/Local Currency Exchange rate 2013 | 1/2.4 | 1/32.6 | 1/62.18 | 1/6.07 | 1 |
PPP Conversion Factor 2013 | 1/1.9 | 1/19.47 | 1/18.24 | 1/3.36 | 1 |
The PPP conversion factor is the price in US dollars of a basket of goods (chosen by the World Bank) in the USA divided by the price in local currency of a comparable basket in that country.
For each of the BRIC countries and the US, over the period 2000-2013, answer the following:
1.What was the average annual inflation rate?
2.What was the average annual growth rate of population?
3.What was the average annual growth rate of real GDP?
4.What was the average annual growth rate of real GDP per capita?
5.For each of the BRIC countries, in the year 2013, how did real income per capita compare to that in the US? (To make this comparison, report real GDP per capita for each country as a percentage of the US.) Report two answers, one based on market exchange rates and one adjusted for differences in purchasing power.