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Using only government websites, report the current GDP, the current federal deficit, the current federal debt, the bottom line of the current (last) budget approved by Congress (surplus or shortage). Note that the fiscal year for the federal government is October 1 - September 31. The fiscal year of 2016. What inference can you draw from the numbers collected?

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Joshua Stredder
Joshua StredderLv10
28 Sep 2019

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Big banks urge Ottawa to spend $20-billion in rapid stimulus

"Two of Canada's big banks want the federal government to pump $20-billion into an economic stimulus for a fast jolt to the flagging economy. Bank of Nova Scotia urged Ottawa to spend that much by mid-2017. Such a measure, the bank said, would equal 1 percent of gross domestic product and would play into its new economic forecast for GDP growth of 1.3 percent this year and 2.5 percent next. Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce called for $20-billion in the government's first year, saying the pledges on the table just aren't enough. The Liberal government of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has indeed promised to spend billions in infrastructure stimulus. But, beyond the recent campaign pledges, there have been no details on the final amount, the targets, and the timeline. And remember, the fiscal outlook has changed rapidly, with the Liberals now forecasting a deficit of $18-billion even without their promised spending. Canadians will get the details when Finance Minister Bill Morneau unveils his budget on March 22. While Scotiabank and CIBC are the first to have specific calls, other bank economists have said the further stimulus would be welcome, and that the government certainly has the fiscal room to accommodate it. Scotiabank painted a weak economic picture for 2016, particularly for the oil-shocked province of Alberta, and a national unemployment rate that will top 7 per cent this year and next. It projected the economy of Alberta, which had been the country's economic engine until the oil route, will contract by a further 1.9 percent this year, with a jobless rate of 7.5 percent. Our Canadian forecast incorporates our recommendation for the federal fiscal stimulus of $20-billion, equivalent to 1 per cent of GDP, implemented during the second of 2016 and the first half of 2017, said Aron Gampel, Scotiabank's deputy chief economist. "This stimulus would be over and above the deficit resulting from weaker economic conditions, estimated for fiscal 2016-17 at $18-billion by the federal government," he added. "The stimulus should be designed to: deliver a rapid economic impact; raise Canada's economic capacity and thus our longer-term growth prospects; and, facilitate adjustments in the provinces most affected by weak commodity prices. Once the Canadian economy no longer requires policy support, targeting a declining ratio of net debt-to-GDP should resume." CIBC also weighed in on the stimulus debate today, calling for $20-billion in stimulus over two years. The Liberal pledges had been for $5-billion infrastructure and a further $5-billion in other measures in their first two years in power. But CIBC World Markets doesn't think that's enough given the country's economic troubles. "Federal stimulus under that scenario would be barely more than 0.5 percent of GDP, arguably too little to do the job, particularly with some provinces applying fiscal brakes," said CIBC's Royce Mendes and Avery Shenfeld. "We see a $20-billion stimulus program with a $40-billion deficit as being more appropriate, but given the political sensitivities, the government might show something closer to $35-billion for 2016-17, while perhaps taking on some further stimulus charged to the outgoing year." Some academics believe that in this low-interest-rate environment, what we need is a strong blast of fiscal stimulus to drive employment and growth. They argue that we should reject fiscal austerity and embrace public investment. Indeed, that has been the primary economic platform for the Liberal party, and for some, the reason for them winning a majority in the last election."

(a) The IMF "It is Mostly Fiscal" appears to be what Trudeau and his economic team have bought into. Explain why further fiscal austerity could be particularly painful for the Canadian economy, and how deficit spending may lower the government debt to GDP ratio. Be sure to illustrate using the IS-LM and the AD-AS frameworks.

(b) Discuss why Canadian banks are particularly concerned that the government fiscal stimulus plan may not be enough.

(c) Discuss what are some of the problems with using expansionary monetary policy in an environment of low interest rates. That is, describe the problem of a "liquidity trap."

40. If the inflation rate falls below the rate that is expected, which of the following will happen?
A) inflationary expectations will increase and the Phillips curve will shift downward in the short run
B) inflationary expectations will decrease and the short-run Phillips curve will shift downward in the long run
C) inflationary expectations will decrease and the short-run Phillips curve will shift upward in the long run
D) inflationary expectations will increase and the Phillips curve will shift upward in the short run
E) inflationary expectations will decrease and the Phillips curve will shift downward in the short run

41. Which case represents the largest increase in the real national debt?
A) the price level increases by 500 percent and nominal debt increases by 500 percent
B) the price level increases by 200 percent and nominal debt increases by 600 percent
C) the price level decreases by 50 percent and nominal debt increases by 300 percent
D) the price level increases by 400 percent and nominal debt increases by 200 percent
E) the price level decreases by 90 percent and nominal debt increases by 200 percent

42. Which of the following is a transfer payment?
A) the federal government's budget deficit
B) unemployment compensation payments
C) military spending
D) wages of government employees
E) the excise tax on gasoline

43. One problem with using countercyclical fiscal policy is that
A) it may take months for the policy to be enacted
B) the policy may take effect too quickly
C) the money supply cannot be changed until several months have passed
D) tax cuts must be matched with spending changes
E) it has no effect on consumption spending

44. Suppose you are the president of a large bank. In which situation would you be most reluctant to loan money to a country?
A) its nominal debt is $10 trillion
B) its nominal debt is 1 percent of nominal GDP
C) its nominal deficit is $150 billion
D) its real deficit is 100 percent of real GDP
E) its real debt is 1 percent of real GDP

45. The national debt
A) can be paid off without major economic effects
B) need never be paid off
C) is no more serious a problem than is a corporation's debt
D) should not exist during a period of economic prosperity
E) is the simple sum of post budget deficits

46. Tax avoidance
A) reduces the difference between the average and marginal tax rates
B) increases federal revenue when it reduces the need for IRS workers
C) reduces federal revenue but does not affect tax progressivity
D) makes the tax system less progressive
E) makes the tax system more progressive

47. The national debt
A) is currently greater than the annual federal deficit
B) is reduced by the revenue generated from the federal deficit
C) decreases as the deficit is reduced
D) is a flow variable
E) varies depending on developments in the stock market

48. In the long run,
A) a larger budget deficit means a larger money supply
B) lower investment spending means slower growth of the standard of living
C) a larger budget deficit means higher consumption spending
D) a larger budget surplus means a smaller capital stock
E) government spending has no effect on the budget deficit or surplus

49. In an expansion,
A) federal budget deficits tend to rise
B) federal budget deficits tend to fall
C) the federal debt tends to rise faster than in a recession
D) federal government tax receipts tend to fall
E) there is pressure on the Fed to monetize the debt

50. Which of the following is not considered an automatic stabilizer?
A) food stamp program for people with low incomes
B) welfare program for families with dependent children
C) Medicaid, a health program for the poor
D) financial assistance for disabled people
E) unemployment programs that pay benefits to those who lose their jobs

QUESTION 31

The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is

composed of seven members who are appointed by the President and approved by the Senate.

composed of 12 members of the Senate and the U.S. House of Representatives.

elected by the general public.

composed of representatives from the country's 12 largest commercial banks.

1.11 points

QUESTION 32

The Fed is said to be the "lender of last resort" in that

it charges a higher interest rate to borrowers than does any other bank.

it functions as the government's bank only when commercial banks fail to do so.

it makes loans to individuals whom commercial banks do not believe are credit-worthy.

it stands ready to lend to any depository institution that it has decided should not fail.

1.11 points

QUESTION 33

The Federal Reserve System acts as the government's fiscal agent by

providing checking account services for the government.

preparing the budget the President presents to Congress every year.

determining how to finance a deficit.

auditing taxpayers.

1.11 points

QUESTION 34

The Federal Reserve System was established in which year?

1913.

1929.

1865.

1941.

1.11 points

QUESTION 35

By serving as the lender of last resort,

the Fed provides check clearing services.

the Fed aids in the sale of government securities.

the Fed supervises depository institutions.

the Fed can prevent bank failures.

1.11 points

QUESTION 36

Depository institutions must

use and pay for the services of the Federal Reserve System.

set their interest rates according to schedules established by the Federal Reserve System.

keep a certain percentage of their deposits as reserves.

turn over a percentage of their profits to the Federal Reserve System as payment for services provided by the Fed.

1.11 points

QUESTION 37

The Federal Reserve System has

50 district banks.

24 district banks.

12 district banks.

7 district banks.

1.11 points

QUESTION 38

The part of the Federal Reserve System (the Fed) that holds the reserve balances of depository institutions is

the Board of Governors.

the Federal Advisory Committee.

the Federal Open Market Committee.

the Federal Reserve district banks.

1.11 points

QUESTION 39

The potential for a financial breakdown at one financial institution to spread throughout the financial system is known as a

systemic risk.

liquidity risk.

lending risk.

moral hazard.

1.11 points

QUESTION 40

A system in which depository institutions hold reserves that are less than the amount of total deposits is called

fiat money banking.

required reserve banking.

fractional reserve banking.

central banking system.

1.11 points

QUESTION 41

Total reserves of private banks are

all customer deposits.

the minimum amount banks need to hold against time deposits.

federal reserve notes.

deposits held at the Fed and vault cash.

1.11 points

QUESTION 42

A statement of assets and liabilities of any business entity is called

a cash flow statement.

an income statement.

a balance sheet.

a statement of net worth.

1.11 points

QUESTION 43

Which of the following actions has no effect on the total money supply?

The Federal Open Market Committee buys government securities.

There is a transfer of deposits from one bank to another bank.

There is change in the money multiplier.

The Federal Open Market Committee sells government securities.

1.11 points

QUESTION 44

Given a required reserve ratio of 20 percent, a commercial bank that has received a new deposit of $100 can make additional loans of

$80.

$0.

$400.

$20.

1.11 points

QUESTION 45

The Federal Open Market Committee has responsibility for

appointing members to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve system.

issuing orders to buy or sell government securities for the Fed.

advising the Treasury Department on monetary policy.

printing money.

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