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9. (4 points)

Explain why the government deficit rises when the economy goes into a recession and the deficit falls when the economy goes into an expansion.

10. (6 points)

The owner of Joe's Burgers is thinking about building a second fast-food restaurant across town. The second restaurant would cost Joe $1 million to build. The owner, having more than enough money to build the new building (over $20 million deposited in the bank), states that she does not need to consider the current rate interest in deciding whether or not to build the new restaurant because she does not need to borrow the money. Is the owner correct in her statement about not needing to consider the market rate of interest? Please clearly explain your reasoning.

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Joshua Stredder
Joshua StredderLv10
28 Sep 2019

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Related questions

1. Why Niall Ferguson thought that the expansionary fiscal policy (or government deficit) could produce crowding-out effect? You can explain by using the IS-LM model or you can use the logic of loanable funds theory

Answer: Ferguson believes that an increase in the government deficit could produce a crowding-out-effect. First, I will touch base on fiscal policy. Well, what is it? Basically, it adjusts the nation’s spending amount which increases the economy’s deficit to close a recessionary gap, which therefore increases the the demand for loans, meaning people want to borrow money. An increase in demand for loans leads to an increase in interest rates. Higher interest rates lead to a decrease in investment and interest-sensitive consumer spending, so both C and I decrease. That’s what the crowding-out-effect is, the decrease in investment due to higher interest rates.

>in Deficit = >in Demand for Loans = >in interest rates =

The government speeds up the economy by deficit spending, they crowd out consumers and investors with high interest rates. So what this means is that the government is attempting to help the economy but it is actually hurting the economy. The reason why I think Ferguson believes this is because of what he says in his debate at the New York Review of Books, that “you can’t be both a monetarist and a Keynesian simultaneously—at least I can’t see how you can, because if the aim of the monetarist policy is to keep interest rates down, to keep liquidity high, the effect of the Keynesian policy must be to drive interest rates up.” He continues on in the interview to say that the Fed has minted out a fresh $1.75 billion in bonds and that no one is going to buy them. Driving up bonds will increase interest rates which increases mortgage rates which is why he basically doesn’t agree with the Keynesian theory.

2. Why Paul Krugman thinks that Niall Ferguson was wrong and thought that government deficit could not produce a crowding-out effect? In other words, please explain Krugman's Liquidity trap .

Answer: To start I think Krugman believes that the Fiscal policy is effective. It is effective when the Liquidity-Money (LM) curve is horizontal. It creates the crowding in effect. The supply of money is constant so it creates money demanded to be interest inelastic, meaning it doesn’t change. So if the government wishes to stimulate the economy, it leaves interest rates at a constant rate, and an increase in investment and saving, therefore helping the economy close the gap on a recession. There is an indifference between money and bonds so this makes fiscal policy effective. So then we get into a monetary expansion, meaning we have an increase in the money supply. Well with the liquidity trap, we get the case that the investment-savings (IS) curve is horizontal. So when the government increases the money supply, investment responds to rapidly changing interest rates, which would decrease the money demanded, making monetary policy effective. But the liquidity trap becomes apparent because interest rates cannot fall below zero percent. This is when monetary policy would become ineffective because interest rates aren’t declining meaning investment wouldn’t continue. Krugman in his blog basically argues this. He states “Most spectacularly, IS-LM turns out to be very useful for thinking about extreme conditions like the present, in which private demand has fallen so far that the economy remains depressed even at a zero interest rate.” He sums up his argument for the liquidity trap and explains his logic behind the investment-savings, liquidity-money curve, and that is why he disagrees with Ferguson.

3. In the discussion, other discussants such as George Soros and Robin Wells pointed out some interesting issues. Please provide at least one thing that you agree and one thing that you disagree. Discuss in details why you think so.

Answer: One thing I found interesting was George Soro’s point in the debate in the New York review of books. He states “The other feature is that the financial system collapsed of its own weight. That contradicted the prevailing view about financial markets, namely that they tend toward equilibrium, and that equilibrium is disturbed by extraneous forces, outside shocks. Those disturbances were supposed to occur in a random fashion. Markets were seen basically as self-correcting. That paradigm has proven to be false. So we are dealing not only with the collapse of a financial system, but also with the collapse of a worldview.” He continues to mention how Obama has 2 problems he has to face and how people who are viewing this crisis the same as the previous financial crisis, are making a huge mistake. To explain he states this: “But when you have a collapse of credit there’s only one source of credit that is still credible, and that’s the state: the Federal Reserve and the Treasury. Then you have actually to inject a lot more leverage and money into the economy; you have to print money as fast as you can, expand the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve, increase the national debt. And that is, in fact, what has been done, which is the right thing to do. But then once this policy is successful, you have to rein in the money supply as fast as you can.” I think Soro is agreeing with Krugman and the monetary policy of pumping money into the economy. It will raise the money supply which eventually is left for us to capitalize on supply and let our GDP. Now I find this interesting because he is also agreeing with Krugman’s IS-LM model, and later on, we come to find out that even Ferguson had come to an agreement with Krugman’s points, with the exception being that the United States was a powerhouse, and therefore the European Union would eventually see its downfall.

Please make comments to the answer of discussion I provided above(at least 300 words total). And you can start with "I agree with you on some points... But I disagree with you on some points".

Question 3

According to Joseph Schumpeter, the theory of creative destruction describes a process by which

A

some new products unleash a gale of destruction that drive other new products out of the market.
B

new products unleash a gale of destruction that drives old products out of the market.
C

new products are created by the destruction of capital.
D

the creation of new products never involves the destruction of old products.

Question 4

Which of the following countries had the highest GDP per capita in 2012?

A Qatar
B

United States
C

Japan
D

Norway

Question 5

________ save a ________ of their income. This ________ capital in their economy and raises economic growth.

A

Developing countries; large proportion; decreases
B

Developing countries; small proportion; increases
C

High-income countries; large proportion; increases
D

High-income countries; small proportion; increases

Question 6

The demand for loanable funds is determined by the willingness of ________ to borrow money to engage in new investment projects.

A

A

government
B

households
C

banks
D

firms

Question 7

The U.S. economy has been more stable since 1950.

True

False

Question 8

When the economy reaches a trough in a business cycle, which of the following will occur?

A

Income, production, and employment will continue to fall.
B

Income, production, and employment will begin to rise.
C

Income and production will rise, but employment will continue to fall.
D

Employment rises, but income and production will continue to fall.

Question 9

In a closed economy, what is the relationship between saving and investment?

A

Saving is greater than investment.
B

Investment is greater than saving.
C

Investment is equal to saving.
D

Investment may be greater or smaller than saving.

Question 10

The per-worker production function shows the relationship between ________ per hour worked and ________ per hour worked, holding ________ constant.

A

labor; real GDP; technology
B

capital; real GDP; technology
C

labor; capital; real GDP
D

capital; labor; real GDP

Question 11

New growth theory states that increases in ________ capital will result in ________ at the ________ level.

A

knowledge; increasing returns to scale; firm
B

physical; decreasing returns to scale; firm
C

knowledge; decreasing returns to scale; economy
D

knowledge; increasing returns to scale; economy

Question 12

Which of the following is not a reason why the Industrial Revolution occurred when and where it did?

A

The British government was committed to upholding private property rights.
B

The British government was able to eliminate arbitrary increases in taxes.
C

The British government was able to more easily seize wealth.
D

Institutional changes by the British government helped protect wealth.

Question 13

Growth in real GDP per capita for the world economy was greatest during

A

the seventeenth century.
B

the eighteenth century.
C

the nineteenth century.
D

the twentieth century.

Question 14

Which of the following is a normative statement about economic growth?

A

Economic growth is associated with higher labor productivity growth.
B

Economic growth increases GDP per capita.
C

Economic growth hurts developing countries.
D

Foreign direct investment stimulates economic growth.

Question 15

The effect of a recession on a company like Whirlpool Corporation is such that

A

sales decline more sharply for Whirlpool as compared to firms that do not produce durable goods.
B

profits fall less sharply as compared to firms that do not produce durable goods.
C

the decline in sales is more short-lived as compared to firms that do not produce durable goods.
D

there is no difference in the impact of the recession on its profits as compared to firms that do not produce durable goods.

Question 16

For the recessions in the United States since the 1950s,

A

cyclical unemployment has been non-existent.
B

unemployment rises on average by about 1.2 percentage points 12 months after a recession begins.
C

unemployment falls on average by 2 percentage points 12 months after a recession begins.
D

unemployment rises on average about 5 percentage points 12 months after a recession begins.

Question 17

You are an economic advisor to the president. You are asked to recommend a policy to promote long-term economic growth in the economy. Which of the following policies would you choose?

A

a reduction in sales taxes
B

an investment tax credit
C

a reduction in taxes on luxury yachts
D

All of these

Question 18

In comparison to a government that runs a balanced budget, when the government runs a budget deficit,

A

the equilibrium interest rate will fall.
B

business investment will fall.
C

household savings will fall.
D

None of these

Question 19

If labor productivity growth slows down in a country, this means that the growth rate in ________ has declined.

A

labor force participation
B

the quantity of goods or services that can be produced by one hour of work
C

the working-age population
D

nominal GDP

Question 20

Policies to promote growth by increasing saving and investment work through

A

decreasing the supply of loanable funds, lowering the interest rate, raising the level of investment in physical capital.
B

increasing the supply of loanable funds, increasing the interest rate, raising the level of investment in physical capital.
C

increasing the supply of loanable funds, lowering the interest rate, lowering the level of investment in physical capital.
D

increasing the supply of loanable funds, lowering the interest rate, raising the level of investment in physical capital.

Entrepreneurship

1. Discuss what steps Craig took to develop and grow his business. (7 marks)

2. Illustrate the role Craig played in contributing towards the economy (8 marks)

clearrisk | craig rowe

Business is risky, but that is Craig Rowe’s business - risk management to be precise. Craig,

the President of ClearRisk Inc., becomes animated and energized as he explains his line of

work. “Risk,” he says, “is not negative. It is when there is opportunity for a downside or an

upside.” Risk management is about formalizing the decision making process. People are

constantly assessing risks, whether it is instinctively in crossing the street or deliberately in

weighing the pros and cons of buying a car. “Business people,” he says, “engage in the same

process whether in deciding where to build a head office or whether to buy another company.”

the entrepreneur

Craig spent almost 20 years in the insurance industry, where he started right out of high

school. Over the years, he attained various insurance designations and completed many

business courses and ample on-the-job training. Craig is naturally entrepreneurial and also

operated his own consulting company and became involved in several insurance industry

associations. This allowed him to develop a large network of connections.

Craig found himself thinking and talking more and more about risk management. He realized

that if businesses did some basic things to manage risk they would save money. In 2001 he

wrote a book on the topic and later adapted the ideas in to a workshop which he presented

throughout Canada and the United States. Insurance industry professionals and other business

people noticed Craig and saw the logic in his message. Soon he was being invited to speak to

various associations and was asked to assist in writing material on risk management. When

dealing with clients of his consulting business, he noticed the same set of steps and questions

could be applied to different realities in different types of companies. He was sure that there

was something that could be packaged and sold to assist these companies.

He went in search of risk management software. He found some, but none applicable to small

and mid-sized companies and organizations. So he decided to build it. He teamed with David

d’Entremont who had the background provide technical expertise. Together they founded

ClearRisk. They developed a business plan which became their roadmap, even though it was

constantly being adapted to take into account new realities, circumstances and goals. Craig estimates they are on version 30 by now!

Craig decided to leave his job and pursue ClearRisk full-time. It was not an easy decision to

make as Craig had a young family at the time. He had to engage in his own risk management

process and weigh his options. He had almost 20 years of solid insurance industry experience.

He had an extensive network of contacts. He had entrepreneurial experience through his

consulting business. He knew the market. He knew what his customers needed and he knew

that he could develop a product to meet that need. He found a solid business partner to

complement his skills. So the timing was right and after 10 years of thinking, dreaming and

percolating ideas, Craig made the leap in 2006.

Craig says that the biggest challenge facing ClearRisk and any business, whether it is in

starting, sustaining or growing the business, is cash. ClearRisk needed capital to develop its

product. For any business to have credibility with lenders and investors, that initial money has

to come from the business owner. Craig and David secured an operating line of credit from the

bank based on personal guarantees.

Step 2 was to seek more financing to start implementing the business. Craig says that it is

important to look for money before you need it because you are building relationships and

confidence and convincing people that you are creditworthy. A business plan is a necessity but

“everyone invests in people.” This applies to accessing financing from Business Development

Bank of Canada (BDC), Atlantic Canada Opportunities Agency (ACOA), or any government

organization, as well as private lenders and investors. It is necessary to raise private money to

leverage government money.

Another important factor in developing ClearRisk was being accepted by Memorial University’s

Genesis Centre, a facility which provides business and technical support to new and emerging

technology businesses. This added to their credibility and attracted the attention of angel

investors. Angel investors are business people with financial resources available to invest in

new promising businesses.

Technological businesses are expensive to grow and ClearRisk’s growth has been made

possible by private investors and organizations such as Growth Works (a venture capital

company). Ownership of the company is now shared with these investors and ClearRisk is a

corporation with multiple shareholders. One of the tradeoffs in taking money from investors is

that ownership becomes shared. Craig says, “You can have a big piece of something small or

a small piece of something big.” He chose the latter.

Craig’s idea has grown immensely. He keeps the numbers to himself, but says sales have

grown exponentially. His primary market is North America and the ClearRisk software has been

launched in French and Spanish. Customers do not pay an upfront fee; instead, they pay an

annual fee for the software and support. ClearRisk is constantly improving its products. The

team is always enhancing features and improving functionality. Currently, they offer three

programs to consumers: ClearRisk™ Manager, which enables an organization to build and

implement a risk management plan; ClearRisk™ Tracker, which facilitates tracking insurance

claims; and ClearRisk™ Trainer, an online instructional program which increases awareness of

risk and its management. The latter two products are offered in partnership with other

organizations.

ClearRisk’s web-based business is global; however, Craig is cautious about expanding beyond

North America. The insurance industries in the USA and Canada are relatively interconnected

and homogeneous. It would be very difficult to provide support to countries with different

regulations and different languages. ClearRisk offers a web-based software service so they

use web-based marketing, rarely using traditional media. They access all forms of social media

such as Facebook, Twitter, MySpace, and blogs and find the approach cost effective and high

impact. Social media facilitates the use of in-bound marketing.

In addition to web-based marketing, ClearRisk is now getting calls from referrals. Clients are

spreading the word to other businesses seeking a similar product. The demand for ClearRisk’s

product is expanding but Craig resists growing the team too quickly. Craig prefers a small team

and likes the dynamics of small groups. However, more sales people are needed and they will co-op

and computer science students to his company. He likes to hire young people. It is

rewarding to see them take shape and become leaders.

Craig speaks favorably about starting a new business in Newfoundland and Labrador. He

says that the provincial climate is positive. In addition to the practical and financial support

available, the provincial government has done a lot to assist business in recent years, including

reducing taxes and red tape and increasing funding.

When Craig reflects on the path his career has taken, he gives special acknowledgement to

Paul Johnson of Johnson Insurance as a business icon and an inspiration. Mr. Johnson

inherited his father’s small insurance office and built it into an innovative, billion-dollar

Company. Not only was Mr. Johnson a great businessman, he was a community-minded

Philanthropist. This is evident today throughout the capital city in the parks, trail ways, and the

Johnson Geo on Signal Hill. Mr. Johnson has influenced Craig’s professional and

Community life. In addition to Craig’s entrepreneurial success he is firmly rooted in his

Community; he currently serves as Chair of the YM/YWCA.

Craig has advice for young people who dream of starting their own businesses. He says to be

Informed, to go in with open eyes and to seek honest opinions from knowledgeable people. He

advises that an entrepreneur should realize that “the odds are against you, but you need the

tenacity and perseverance to stick with it. It is important to understand your industry, to

understand the need for your product or service and ultimately to understand the risks before

you make the leap.” In business, managing risk is everyone’s business!

1. Discuss what steps Craig took to develop and grow his business.

2. Illustrate the role Craig played in contributing towards the economy

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