UNIV 3985 Lecture Notes - Lecture 15: International Monetary Fund, Aggregate Supply, Aggregate Demand

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23 Apr 2020
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Containment measures and people"s decisions to cut back on consumption and work. The pandemic"s impact on the economy: output reduce the severity of the pandemic. However, these same decisions exacerbate the size of the recession caused by the pandemic. A pandemic has both aggregate demand and aggregate supply effects. The supply effect arises because the pandemic exposes people who are working to the virus. A significant portion of the population may be infected (and be out of the labor market). Most importantly, (even healthy) people react to that risk by reducing their labor supply, thus affecting output. The demand effect arises because the pandemic exposes people who are purchasing consumption goods to the virus. People react to that risk by reducing their consumption. The supply and demand effects work together to generate a large, persistent recession. Large-scale containment measures, such as the closure of non essential businesses, further reduce consumption and hours worked.

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