POL-UA 500 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Arab Spring, Lustration, Aisle
2 Feb 2017
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Whether the regime in power loses its legitimacy. Newer generation has different ideals-previous generation remembers time when it was worse. Civil society-if people can come together to discuss issues, makes change easier. More likely to achieve a transition if the opposition is unified. Easier for the reigme to stay in power if the opposition is fragmented because it can go after each one individually. When right people are in the right place and time. When leaders have done xxx, democratization is more likely to occur. Promise more aid if a country gives a policy agenda. Removal of an external restraint-u r pro(cid:373)ises it (cid:449)o(cid:374)"t i(cid:374)ter(cid:448)e(cid:374)e. Arab spring and changes in easter europe were different because in arab spring there was no overarching hegemony. No (cid:271)elief that (cid:449)he(cid:374) the perso(cid:374) i(cid:374) po(cid:449)er lea(cid:448)es there"ll (cid:271)e a rise i(cid:374) po(cid:449)er (cid:271)y the oppositio(cid:374) Authoritarian regimes are beginning to push back agai(cid:374)st the west"s push to(cid:449)ards de(cid:373)o(cid:272)ra(cid:272)y.
