STAT W21 Lecture 2: Ch. 2
Document Summary
Inductive reasoning = generalize from experience to new experiences (inherently uncertain) Even the best statistical evidence can lead to wrong conclusions if used in a fallacious argument. If an argument is valid and its premises are true, the argument is sound. Valid of truth of its premises guarantees the truth of its conclusion. Affirming the consequent / denying the consequent. Affirming the antecedent / denying the antecedent. The conclusion does not follow from the two premises. Can be a non sequitur of evidence or non sequitur of relevance. Fallacy: an argument in which the premises do not justify the conclusion as a matter of logic. Might misapply a legitimate rule of logic, might omit a crucial premise or misconstrue a. Conclusion that x is false does not follow from the two premises. Establishes a different conclusion and ignores the difference. Tacit premise that everything that comes of something bad is bad (and only good comes.
