POLS 210 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Causal Model, Dependent And Independent Variables, Social Capital
19 Sep 2018
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A causes c. this is a causal model. It might happen that the way a causes c is through b; b intervenes. This process of elaborating a theory, the process that he engages in in the chapter, he starts by telling us that voters perception on economic conditions is what drives how they vote. So, perception on economic conditions is related to how people vote. If people like the economic conditions, they will vote for the incumbent. Theories have causality, theories walk us down the path by which a causes c. A causal story walks you through this chain ^ If a se(cid:374)te(cid:374)(cid:272)e has the (cid:449)ord (cid:862)(cid:272)auses(cid:863) i(cid:374) it, it is(cid:374)"t a hypothesis. When he asks us for a theory, we are going to have to explain why a causes c. we have to think about how the process actually works.
