EC140 Lecture Notes - Lecture 8: Output Gap, Potential Output, Phillips Curve

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19 Feb 2017

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24 from the short run to the long run. Wages and factor prices are fixed in the short run. Wages are able to adjust in the medium term when people are getting laid off vs. when they want more money, etc. Everything is flexible in the long run look at how potential gdp changes overtime. Real gdp determined by intersection of supply and demand. Technology and factor supplies are assumed constant. Total output if all productive resources were fully employed - independent of price level. Fully employed resources do not mean unemployment is zero. Changes in potential output are long-run, not short-run. Potential gdp as an anchor - economy returns to potential gdp after a shock. If real gdp < potential output: recessionary gap. If real gdp > potential output: inflationary gap. This causes the as curve to shift left. Inflationary gap - resources are used beyond capacity. Labour shortages emerge - firms offer increased wages to attract/keep workers.

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Please help wtih these economics questions. I'll give the best answer to the person who justifies their answer.. or someone who does well in economics and knows the subject area well.

Which of the following statements is not true about Say's Law?

A. People produce more goods than they want for their own use only if they seek to trade them for other goods.

B. Markets would be regularly hit by severe shortages and surpluses.

C. Desired expenditures will equal actual expenditures.

D. Surpluses will be eliminated by falling prices and shortages will be eliminated by increasing prices.

Which of the following is not an assumption of the classical model?

A. Buyers and sellers react to changes in relative prices.

B. Households want to maximize economic well being.

C. Wages and prices will move freely in the upward direction but not the downward direction.

D. No single buyer or seller of a commodity can affect its price.

Money illusion is

A. when people think they are better off when their income increases even though prices have increased by the same amount.

B. when people are motivated by self-interest.

C. could not exist if the economy did not have competitive markets.

D. a basic condition that all classical economists assume people have.

Saving is not a problem in the classical model because

A. interest rates were flexible and savings were channeled into investment.

B. savers and investors were the same people.

C. the classical economists assumed that saving was beneficial to people for retirement.

D. saving would be spent by consumers eventually.

Which of the following statements is true?

A. There is an inverse relationship between investment and the interest rate.

B. There is no relationship between investment and the interest rate.

C. There is a direct relationship between investment and the interest rate.

D. Investment is always less than savings.

In the classical model, high unemployment due to either a demand or a supply shock

A. will return to its normal level quickly as wages adjust.

B. will persist if due to a supply shock but not if due to a demand shock.

C. can persist for an indefinite period of time.

D. never exists because unemployment can never deviate from its normal level.

The classical model makes little distinction between the long-run and short-run because

A. the model has not been fully developed yet.

B. prices adjust so fast that the economy is quickly moving towards the long-run.

C. the classical economists knew that we are always operating in the short run.

D. current changes influence the long run, so it is not possible to plan for the future.

In the classical model

A. the level of real GDP per year does not depend on the level of aggregate demand.

B. the level of GDP is demand determined.

C. the level of GDP determines prices independent of demand.

D. changes in aggregate supply affect the price level, not real GDP.

Which of the following is a true statement?

A. Classical economists believed output adjusted more than prices when aggregate demand fell while Keynes believed prices adjusted more than output.

B. Classical economists believed price adjusted more than output when aggregate demand fell while Keynes believed output adjusted more than prices.

C. A decrease in aggregate demand has no short-run effects according to the classical economists, but had significant effects according to Keynes.

D. A decrease in aggregate demand was not possible according to the classical economists, but was possible according to Keynes.

Which of the following is not a reason why GDP can be expanded beyond a level consistent with its long-run growth path in modern Keynesian analysis?

A. Prices and wages are flexible allowing for needed adjustments.

B. In the short-run existing workers can work more hours.

C. The existing capital stock can be used more intensively.

D. Higher prices induce firms to hire more workers.

A recessionary gap can be caused by

A. a decrease in aggregate supply holding aggregate demand constant.

B. an increase in aggregate demand holding aggregate supply constant.

C. an increase in the long run aggregate supply curve holding the aggregate demand constant.

D. a decrease in both aggregate demand and aggregate supply.

lemonpug153

MBA502, Economics for Business

Apply and Discover 7.2

You are responsible for economic policymaking in your country. Your desire is to eliminate inflation, keeping prices absolutely stable at P = 100, no matter what happens to output. Currently, the economy is in equilibrium at Q = 3200 (where Q = potential GDP) and P = 100. You can use monetary and fiscal policies to affect aggregate demand but you cannot affect aggregate supply in the short run. How would you respond to the following scenarios?

Explain and illustrate how each of these events would affect aggregate demand, aggregate supply, and prices, then explain how you would respond with economic policies.

1. A surprise increase in investment spending

In the short run, when investment spending increases, it results in an increase in Aggregate Demand (AD), which in turn pushes up both GPD and the price index.

To counterbalance this development, government might pursue contractionary fiscal policy by increasing taxes (to reduce consumption) or decreasing its own investment and spending so that the AD curve shifts back to its original position. Alternatively, the government can pursue contractionary monetary policy by reducing money supply and increasing interest rate to discourage economic activity.

2. Catastrophic floods that cause a sharp food price increase

In this case, sharp food shortages and consequent price increases cause a shock-type adjustment of the aggregate supply curve (it shift up and to the left). The result is a lower GDP and a higher price level.

The government cannot do anything to adjust AS in the short run. However, if the goal is to maintain the price level constant, the government can decide to do something to decrease the aggregate demand to force prices to come down, though it will be accompanies by another contraction in GDP and so it would not be a smart thing to do.

To cause AD to decrease, the government, similar to example above, can pursue fiscal policy (increase taxes, decrease spending) or monetary policy (reduce supply of money to the economy and thus increase interest rates).

3. A productivity decline that reduces potential output

In this case, AS shifts to the left, as was the case in example 2. As a result, price levels go up, as the same amount of money is chasing the reduced amount of goods and services, and GDP declines.

Government remedies here would be centered about causing AD to decrease through contractionary fiscal (higher taxes, lower spending) or monetary (reduce money supply and increase interest rates) policy. Again, this decision reduces inflation but at expense of GDP, as real output shrinks further.

4. A deep depression in East Asia that causes a sharp decrease in net exports to the United States

A decrease in exports of goods to from the United States to Asia will mean that the aggregate demand (which includes net exports

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In the AD-AS model, stagflation does not persist, because the working of the self-correcting mechanism of the economy _____ the level of output and _____ the price level until the economy eventually returns to a long-run equilibrium state, where actual output _____ potential output.

	decreases; decreases; falls short of
	increases; decreases; equals
	decreases; increases; exceeds
	decreases; increases; equals
	increases; decreases; exceeds

The LRAS curve is drawn as a vertical line at potential output (Y*) to indicate that

	Y* is independent of the price level and that actual output Y > Y* in the long run
	Y* equals actual output (Y) in the long run
	Y* is independent of the price level and that actual output Y = Y* in the long run
	Y* is independent of the price level
	Y* is independent of the price level and that actual output Y < Y* in the long run

Stagflation arises in the context of the AD-AS model when some external factor causes

	the LRAS curve to shift to the right
	the AD curve to shift leftwards
	the SRAS curve to shift downwards
	the SRAS curve to shift upwards
	the AD curve to shift rightwards

If the SRAS curve is positively sloped, then a decrease in the demand for Canadian-made goods in Europe will lead to _____ in the price level, in the short run.

	either an increase or a decrease
	no change
	an increase
	a decrease
	an initial increase, and then a decrease

Which of the following will shift the aggregate demand curve to the right?

	Consumers become pessimistic about the future
	A new technology is developed that will increase profits
	Income taxes are raised
	Foreign economies fall into recession, reducing their demand for domestic exports
	The government reduces purchases to balance the budget

Suppose a stock market crash decreases the stock of household wealth and therefore causes autonomous consumption to fall. Which of the following is the likely result?

	A leftward shift the AD curve
	There will be no movement of the AD curve
	A movement down the AD curve
	A movement up the AD curve
	A rightward of the shift the AD curve

An economy is characterized by the AD equation P = 200 ? 0.02Y, SRAS equation P = 100 and LRAS equation Y* = 5000. In the absence of any change in policy or exogenous shocks, this economy will achieve a long-run price level of

	100
	110
	120
	90
	105

The AD-AS model depicts a self-correcting economy. This means that the price level in the model adjusts automatically in response to a(n) _____ gap, so as to eliminate the _____ gap in the long run, without requiring any help from government policies.

	recessionary; recessionary
	recessionary; expansionary
	expansionary; expansionary
	output; output
	expansionary; recessionary

The aggregate demand curve shows

	the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at the current price level
	the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at an average price level
	the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at a constant price level
	the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at various price levels
	the amount of planned aggregate expenditure (and output) at last year's price level

Consider an economy initially at long-run equilibrium with output (Y) equal to potential output (Y*). If the SRAS is positively sloped, then a shift to the right of the AD curve will lead to _____ in the price level, in the short run. In the long run, the SRAS curve will shift to the _____ and the equilibrium will be at __________.

	an increase; left; Y = Y*
	a decrease; right; Y > Y*
	an increase; right; Y = Y*
	a decrease; left; Y > Y*
	no change; left; Y = Y*

EC140 Lecture Notes - Lecture 8: Output Gap, Potential Output, Phillips Curve

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