Psychology 2032A/B Lecture Notes - Lecture 10: Fallacy, Illusory Correlation, False Positive Rate
Document Summary
Interaction among offender characteristics and situation: risk assessment has 2 components, prediction, probability of committing future acts, management, development of interventions, risk assessments: civil settings, civil commitment, hospitalized involuntary for a mental illnesses or poses themselves as dangerous. In canada, only a psychiatrist can commit someone to the hospital: child protection, cas, temporarily remove child from home or to terminate paternal rights. Length, probation v secure custody: release, parole, public safety outweighs solicitor-client privilege when there is clear, serious and imminent danger, psychiatrist has duty to warn and defence lawyer did not address his concerns. False positive (incorrect prediction) true positive (correct prediction) Base rate problem: the base rate- the percentage of people in a given population who commit a criminal act, base rates vary based on. Low base rates can increase false positive decisions predict to reoffend and does not: the group being studied, what is being predicted, the length of follow up monitoring period.