PSYCH291 Lecture Notes - Lecture 17: Brian Nosek, False Positive Rate, Statistical Significance

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Issue in reproducing results flaws getting addressed, on its way to improving. Can inflate false positives (type 1 error) Play with data to achieve statistical significance. Stop collecting data when p <0. 05, even if nothing significant in nature increases false positive timing outliers: No set standards set for two to deal with outliers. Can produce false, statistically significant results flexibility in data analysis/reporting can inflate p-value inflated false positive rate: 61% chance to receive false positive if you are really flexible with data. p-curves: Unlikely you will find p values near p=0. 04 and p =0. 05 mark. too many improbable values of p < 0. 01. Not publishing study when no significant results (journal bias) researchers manipulate data to get their study published in a journal. Brian nosek and colleagues set out to replicate hundreds of published articles to get some results. Published study that showed low replication rate. 47% in biology. external validity issues (social psych)

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