LAW 122 Lecture Notes - Lecture 1: Blackberry, Statistical Hypothesis Testing, Confirmation Bias

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Interaction between word of mouth, experience, and advertising messages (they create expectations). The conirmation bias people often seek information that conirms rather than disconirms their original hypothesis. Common belief: arthritis associated with changes in weather followed 18 arthritis patients for 15 months 2 x per month assessed: pain and joint tenderness weather correlated pain/tenderness with weather. Results: correlation between pain and weather near zero!!! in this study. We do not see things as they are; we see things as we are. People are fond of evidence that will conirm, rather than challenge, their current beliefs. Marketing examples: the simply smart showerhead- holiday inn. Advertised new showerhead- started getting positive mentions referring to showerhead from guests: price of a mercedes. Previous mercedes owners tend to pay more for the same product as a new customer- due to positive reinforcements that the product is worth the price therefore more willing to pay a higher rate: rooing contract.

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