SCIE10004 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Metapopulation, Zoonosis, Measles
23 Sep 2018
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Human science - lecture 5 and 6 - week 3. Terminology: ecology: scienti c analysis and study of interactions among organisms and their environment. And how quickly case numbers will rise and which interventions to use. : qualitative knowledge and past experience helps answer the questions and design models. But when we need precise information (number of beds or treatments needed) we need a dynamic model. Tuesday, 7 august 2018: by 15 weeks half the population are immune but transmission is faster than ever. Tuesday, 7 august 2018: this is how diseases become endemic, if there aren"t enough susceptible being added to the population the disease will die out. Population mixing: each infected meets and sneezes on some number of randomly selected people, only a fraction of these are susceptible mixing is unrealistic. In uenced by space, demography and social networks: distances between cities predicted the spread of the 1928 spend u pandemic in the uk, perfect.
