FNCE20005 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Credit Risk, Dividend Discount Model, Court Costs

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If the firm is rated, use the rating and a typical default spread on bonds with that rating. If not rated, use the interest rate on a bank loan or estimate a proper default spread based on a synthetic rating: can be estimated by using one or a collection of financial ratios, e. g. Ebit/interest expenses: (cid:3031)(cid:4666)1 (cid:3032)(cid:4667) reflects tax savings associated with debt. If the firm is a going concern and debt is a perpetuity: pv of interest tax shields = pv of a perpetuity, having enough debt financing is optimal so as to reduce the tax bill. Imputation tax neutralises tax benefit of debt, implying lower leverage: expected costs of financial distress. If taxes were the only issue, companies would be 100% debt financed. Indirect costs (tend to be larger, but hard to measure: opportunity costs, e. g. , management distraction and effort, scare off customers and suppliers (damage to reputation)

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